Over 1.5 goals@1.61
Over 1.5
62%
UKRPremier League · Matchday 12Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Slavutych-Arena
Zorya Luhansk
7th · 15 pts17:00KICK-OFF WAT
LNZ Cherkasy
6th · 15 pts38% Zorya
30% Draw
32% LNZ
OUR PICK
Zorya Luhansk to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.66
Expected goals
1.10 – 1.00
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.66X3.3423.08
Goals 2.5Over2.70Under1.54
Both scoreGG2.25NG1.73
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.54
Under 2.5
65%
Both teams to score@1.73
NG
58%
Double chance@1.43
12
70%
Season stats
Zorya LuhanskLNZ Cherkasy1.2Goals per game1.0
1.3Conceded per game0.9
1.50Points per game1.50
40%Win rate40%
-1Goal difference1
8Form, last 5 (pts)10
Zorya Luhansk form
DDWWWH Kryvbas KR1–1
A Shakhtar Donetsk0–0
H Chornomorets2–1
A Livyi Bereh1–3
A Kolos Kovalivka1–2
LNZ Cherkasy form
LDWWH Metal Kharkiv0–1
A Livyi Bereh0–0
A Kryvbas KR0–3
H Kudrivka2–1
Head to head
0
Zorya
2
Draw
3
LNZ
Dec 2025LNZ Cherkasy – Zorya Luhansk2–0
Aug 2025Zorya Luhansk – LNZ Cherkasy0–0
May 2025LNZ Cherkasy – Zorya Luhansk1–1
Nov 2024Zorya Luhansk – LNZ Cherkasy1–2
May 2024LNZ Cherkasy – Zorya Luhansk2–1
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk11+1728
2Polessya10+1525
3FC Kharkiv9+1121
4Dynamo Kyiv9+519
5Karpaty10+916
6LNZ Cherkasy10+115
7Zorya Luhansk10-115
8Kolos Kovalivka9-111
9Chornomorets10-49
10Epitsentr Dunayivtsi10-49
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Zorya Luhansk 38%, the draw 30%, LNZ Cherkasy 32%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.66 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (1.10 for Zorya Luhansk, 1.00 for LNZ Cherkasy), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Zorya Luhansk sit 7th on 15 points; LNZ Cherkasy are 6th on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.