Over 1.5 goals@1.40
Over 1.5
71%
UKRPremier League · Matchday 11Monday, 2 November 2026 · Slavutych-Arena
Zorya Luhansk
7th · 15 pts12:00KICK-OFF WAT
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
10th · 9 pts49% Zorya
26% Draw
25% Epitsentr
OUR PICK
Zorya Luhansk to win
Model probability 49% · fair odds
2.05
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.00
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.05X3.8523.96
Goals 2.5Over2.05Under1.84
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.96
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.84
Under 2.5
54%
Both teams to score@1.96
NG
51%
Double chance@1.34
1X
75%
Season stats
Zorya LuhanskEpitsentr Dunayivtsi1.2Goals per game1.0
1.3Conceded per game1.4
1.50Points per game0.90
40%Win rate20%
-1Goal difference-4
8Form, last 5 (pts)1
Zorya Luhansk form
DDWWWH Kryvbas KR1–1
A Shakhtar Donetsk0–0
H Chornomorets2–1
A Livyi Bereh1–3
A Kolos Kovalivka1–2
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi form
WLDLDA Chernihiv1–2
H FC Kharkiv1–2
A Karpaty2–2
A Kolos Kovalivka3–1
A Bukovyna0–0
Head to head
2
Zorya
0
Draw
0
Epitsentr
Apr 2026Zorya Luhansk – Epitsentr Dunayivtsi1–0
Oct 2025Epitsentr Dunayivtsi – Zorya Luhansk1–2
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk11+1728
2Polessya10+1525
3FC Kharkiv9+1121
4Dynamo Kyiv9+519
5Karpaty10+916
6LNZ Cherkasy10+115
7Zorya Luhansk10-115
8Kolos Kovalivka9-111
9Chornomorets10-49
10Epitsentr Dunayivtsi10-49
Match preview
Our model makes Zorya Luhansk slight favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.05 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.50 for Zorya Luhansk, 1.00 for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Zorya Luhansk sit 7th on 15 points; Epitsentr Dunayivtsi are 10th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.