Over 1.5 goals@1.25
Over 1.5
80%
CZECzech Liga · Matchday 12Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Letná Stadion
Zlin
16th · 3 pts1–1FULL TIME
Sigma Olomouc
3rd · 24 pts17% Zlin
21% Draw
63% Sigma
OUR PICK
Sigma Olomouc to win
Model probability 63% · fair odds
1.60
Expected goals
0.96 – 2.05
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X215.93X4.8521.60
Goals 2.5Over1.73Under2.25
Both scoreGG1.86NG2.05
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.73
Over 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.86
GG
54%
Double chance@1.20
X2
83%
Season stats
ZlinSigma Olomouc0.8Goals per game1.7
2.0Conceded per game1.2
0.23Points per game1.85
0%Win rate54%
-15Goal difference7
3Form, last 5 (pts)8
Zlin form
DDLLLA Artis2–2
H Sigma Olomouc1–1
A Pardubice3–0
H Slavia Praha0–1
H Prostějov1–2
Sigma Olomouc form
WDWDWH Zbrojovka Brno3–0
A Zlin1–1
H Slovan Liberec1–0
A Teplice1–1
H Žilina4–0
Head to head
2
Zlin
2
Draw
1
Sigma
Oct 2026Zlin – Sigma Olomouc1–1
Dec 2025Zlin – Sigma Olomouc5–0
Aug 2025Sigma Olomouc – Zlin1–0
Apr 2024Zlin – Sigma Olomouc3–2
Oct 2023Sigma Olomouc – Zlin0–0
Czech Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Slavia Praha13+2531
2Mlada Boleslav13+724
3Sigma Olomouc13+724
4Sparta Praha13+1223
5Slovan Liberec12+723
6Teplice13+321
7FK Jablonec13-220
8Zbrojovka Brno13-320
9Plzen13+719
10Bohemians 190512017
Match preview
Our model makes Sigma Olomouc clear favourites, giving them a 63% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.60 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (0.96 for Zlin, 2.05 for Sigma Olomouc), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Zlin sit 16th on 3 points; Sigma Olomouc are 3rd on 24.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.