Over 1.5 goals@1.52
Over 1.5
66%
SRBSuper Liga · Matchday 13Friday, 23 October 2026 · Gradski Stadion Zemun
Zemun
14th · 6 pts1–0FULL TIME
Macva
12th · 10 pts28% Zemun
28% Draw
43% Macva
OUR PICK
Macva to win
Model probability 43% · fair odds
2.31
Expected goals
0.98 – 1.28
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.52X3.5422.31
Goals 2.5Over2.42Under1.65
Both scoreGG2.10NG1.82
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.65
Under 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.82
NG
55%
Double chance@1.39
12
72%
Season stats
ZemunMacva0.5Goals per game0.8
2.0Conceded per game1.8
0.43Points per game0.71
7%Win rate14%
-21Goal difference-14
4Form, last 5 (pts)2
Zemun form
LWLLDA FK Partizan3–0
H Macva1–0
A Cukaricki3–0
H Železničar Pančevo0–3
A Novi Pazar2–2
Macva form
LWLDDH FK Crvena Zvezda2–4
H Napredak2–0
A Zemun1–0
H OFK Beograd1–1
A Cukaricki2–2
Head to head
3
Zemun
2
Draw
0
Macva
Oct 2026Zemun – Macva1–0
Jun 2026Macva – Zemun1–1
Apr 2026Zemun – Macva2–0
Dec 2025Macva – Zemun1–1
Sept 2025Zemun – Macva1–0
Super Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FK Crvena Zvezda14+3140
2Vojvodina14+1832
3Železničar Pančevo13+1026
4Radnicki 192314+523
5IMT Novi Beograd14+622
6Radnik Surdulica14+120
7Cukaricki14-119
8Mladost Lucani14-718
9FK Partizan14017
10Novi Pazar14-316
Match preview
Our model makes Macva slight favourites, giving them a 43% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.31 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (0.98 for Zemun, 1.28 for Macva), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Zemun sit 14th on 6 points; Macva are 12th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.