Over 1.5 goals@1.78
Over 1.5
56%
SRBSuper Liga · Matchday 15Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Zemun Stadium
Zemun
14th · 6 pts18:00KICK-OFF WAT
IMT Novi Beograd
5th · 22 pts12% Zemun
27% Draw
61% IMT
OUR PICK
IMT Novi Beograd to win
Model probability 61% · fair odds
1.63
Expected goals
0.46 – 1.43
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X218.47X3.7321.63
Goals 2.5Over3.25Under1.42
Both scoreGG3.37NG1.39
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.42
Under 2.5
71%
Both teams to score@1.39
NG
72%
Double chance@1.13
X2
88%
Season stats
ZemunIMT Novi Beograd0.5Goals per game1.1
2.0Conceded per game0.6
0.43Points per game1.57
7%Win rate43%
-21Goal difference6
4Form, last 5 (pts)8
Zemun form
LWLLDA FK Partizan3–0
H Macva1–0
A Cukaricki3–0
H Železničar Pančevo0–3
A Novi Pazar2–2
IMT Novi Beograd form
DLLWWH Cukaricki0–0
A Grafičar2–0
H Železničar Pančevo0–1
A Novi Pazar1–2
H Radnik Surdulica1–0
Head to head
0
Zemun
1
Draw
2
IMT
Jul 2026IMT Novi Beograd – Zemun4–0
Apr 2021IMT Novi Beograd – Zemun2–0
Oct 2020Zemun – IMT Novi Beograd0–0
Super Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FK Crvena Zvezda14+3140
2Vojvodina14+1832
3Železničar Pančevo13+1026
4Radnicki 192314+523
5IMT Novi Beograd14+622
6Radnik Surdulica14+120
7Cukaricki14-119
8Mladost Lucani14-718
9FK Partizan14017
10Novi Pazar14-316
Match preview
Our model makes IMT Novi Beograd clear favourites, giving them a 61% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.63 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.9 goals in total (0.46 for Zemun, 1.43 for IMT Novi Beograd), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Zemun sit 14th on 6 points; IMT Novi Beograd are 5th on 22.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.