Over 1.5 goals@1.61
Over 1.5
62%
CZECzech Liga · Matchday 12Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Mestsky Fotbalovy Stadion Srbska
Zbrojovka Brno
8th · 20 pts2–2FULL TIME
Bohemians 1905
10th · 17 pts37% Zbrojovka
30% Draw
33% Bohemians
OUR PICK
Zbrojovka Brno to win
Model probability 37% · fair odds
2.70
Expected goals
1.09 – 1.01
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.70X3.3423.03
Goals 2.5Over2.70Under1.54
Both scoreGG2.25NG1.73
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.54
Under 2.5
65%
Both teams to score@1.73
NG
58%
Double chance@1.43
12
70%
Season stats
Zbrojovka BrnoBohemians 19051.2Goals per game1.1
1.5Conceded per game1.1
1.54Points per game1.42
46%Win rate33%
-3Goal difference0
4Form, last 5 (pts)8
Zbrojovka Brno form
LLDWLA Sigma Olomouc3–0
A Slavia Praha4–0
H Bohemians 19052–2
A Slovácko1–2
H FK Jablonec0–1
Bohemians 1905 form
DLDWWH Sparta Praha0–0
A Mlada Boleslav3–2
A Zbrojovka Brno2–2
H Mlada Boleslav1–0
H Baník Ostrava1–0
Head to head
0
Zbrojovka
3
Draw
2
Bohemians
Oct 2026Zbrojovka Brno – Bohemians 19052–2
Feb 2023Bohemians 1905 – Zbrojovka Brno1–1
Sept 2022Zbrojovka Brno – Bohemians 19051–2
Feb 2021Bohemians 1905 – Zbrojovka Brno2–1
Aug 2020Zbrojovka Brno – Bohemians 19050–0
Czech Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Slavia Praha13+2531
2Mlada Boleslav13+724
3Sigma Olomouc13+724
4Sparta Praha13+1223
5Slovan Liberec12+723
6Teplice13+321
7FK Jablonec13-220
8Zbrojovka Brno13-320
9Plzen13+719
10Bohemians 190512017
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Zbrojovka Brno 37%, the draw 30%, Bohemians 1905 33%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.70 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.1 goals in total (1.09 for Zbrojovka Brno, 1.01 for Bohemians 1905), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Zbrojovka Brno sit 8th on 20 points; Bohemians 1905 are 10th on 17.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.