Over 1.5 goals@1.41
Over 1.5
71%
CZECzech Liga · Matchday 14Saturday, 7 November 2026
Zbrojovka Brno
8th · 20 pts18:00KICK-OFF WAT
Baník Ostrava
13th · 11 pts62% Zbrojovka
23% Draw
15% Baník
OUR PICK
Zbrojovka Brno to win
Model probability 62% · fair odds
1.61
Expected goals
1.76 – 0.73
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.61X4.3726.63
Goals 2.5Over2.10Under1.83
Both scoreGG2.19NG1.75
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.83
Under 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.75
NG
57%
Double chance@1.18
1X
85%
Season stats
Zbrojovka BrnoBaník Ostrava1.2Goals per game0.6
1.5Conceded per game1.8
1.54Points per game0.92
46%Win rate25%
-3Goal difference-15
4Form, last 5 (pts)2
Zbrojovka Brno form
LLDWLA Sigma Olomouc3–0
A Slavia Praha4–0
H Bohemians 19052–2
A Slovácko1–2
H FK Jablonec0–1
Baník Ostrava form
LWDLH Plzen0–4
A Sparta Praha0–2
H Sparta Praha0–0
A Bohemians 19051–0
Head to head
2
Zbrojovka
1
Draw
2
Baník
May 2023Baník Ostrava – Zbrojovka Brno4–0
Feb 2023Zbrojovka Brno – Baník Ostrava2–1
Aug 2022Baník Ostrava – Zbrojovka Brno1–2
May 2021Baník Ostrava – Zbrojovka Brno1–1
Dec 2020Zbrojovka Brno – Baník Ostrava0–1
Czech Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Slavia Praha13+2531
2Mlada Boleslav13+724
3Sigma Olomouc13+724
4Slovan Liberec12+723
5Sparta Praha12+1222
6Teplice13+321
7FK Jablonec13-220
8Zbrojovka Brno13-320
9Plzen13+719
10Bohemians 190511016
Match preview
Our model makes Zbrojovka Brno clear favourites, giving them a 62% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.61 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.76 for Zbrojovka Brno, 0.73 for Baník Ostrava), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Zbrojovka Brno sit 8th on 20 points; Baník Ostrava are 13th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.