Over 1.5 goals@1.42
Over 1.5
70%
POLEkstraklasa · Matchday 13Monday, 2 November 2026 · Stadion Zagłębia Lubin
Zaglebie Lubin
8th · 19 pts18:00KICK-OFF WAT
Korona Kielce
10th · 18 pts48% Zaglebie
26% Draw
25% Korona
OUR PICK
Zaglebie Lubin to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.06
Expected goals
1.47 – 0.98
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.06X3.8023.97
Goals 2.5Over2.14Under1.80
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.80
Under 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.93
NG
52%
Double chance@1.34
1X
75%
Season stats
Zaglebie LubinKorona Kielce1.3Goals per game1.2
1.3Conceded per game1.5
1.58Points per game1.50
42%Win rate42%
0Goal difference-4
7Form, last 5 (pts)6
Zaglebie Lubin form
DWLWLA Motor Lublin2–2
H Jagiellonia1–0
A Cracovia Krakow3–1
H Miedz Legnica1–0
H Wisla Plock0–2
Korona Kielce form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Zaglebie
0
Draw
0
Korona
These sides haven't met recently.
Ekstraklasa table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Lech Poznan12+2131
2Gornik Zabrze13+1028
3Legia Warszawa13+1224
4Pogon Szczecin11+1024
5GKS Katowice13+621
6Piast Gliwice13+421
7Wisla Krakow13+221
8Zaglebie Lubin12019
9Jagiellonia12-118
10Korona Kielce12-418
Match preview
Our model makes Zaglebie Lubin slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.06 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.47 for Zaglebie Lubin, 0.98 for Korona Kielce), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Zaglebie Lubin sit 8th on 19 points; Korona Kielce are 10th on 18.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.