Over 1.5 goals@1.08
Over 1.5
93%
CHNSuper League · Matchday 30Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium
Yunnan Yukun
6th · 40 pts08:30KICK-OFF WAT
Wuhan Three Towns
15th · 22 pts55% Yunnan
19% Draw
26% Wuhan
OUR PICK
Yunnan Yukun to win
Model probability 55% · fair odds
1.81
Expected goals
2.54 – 1.74
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.81X5.3323.83
Goals 2.5Over1.25Under4.72
Both scoreGG1.32NG3.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.25
Over 2.5
80%
Both teams to score@1.32
GG
76%
Double chance@1.23
12
81%
Season stats
Yunnan YukunWuhan Three Towns2.0Goals per game1.5
2.1Conceded per game1.9
1.38Points per game0.76
38%Win rate17%
-3Goal difference-11
5Form, last 5 (pts)2
Yunnan Yukun form
WDDLWH Dalian Zhixing4–3
A Qingdao Youth Island1–1
H Chongqing Tongliang Long1–1
A Shanghai Shenhua7–1
H Shenyang Urban5–0
Wuhan Three Towns form
LLDLDH Shandong Luneng3–5
H Shanghai Shenhua1–3
A Shenyang Urban1–1
A Hangzhou Greentown4–1
H Henan Jianye1–1
Head to head
1
Yunnan
1
Draw
1
Wuhan
May 2026Wuhan Three Towns – Yunnan Yukun1–1
Aug 2025Yunnan Yukun – Wuhan Three Towns2–1
Apr 2025Wuhan Three Towns – Yunnan Yukun3–1
Super League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Chengdu Better City29+1652
2Dalian Zhixing29+349
3Beijing Guoan29+2147
4Shandong Luneng29+1044
5SHANGHAI SIPG29+1442
6Yunnan Yukun29-340
7Qingdao Youth Island29-639
8Shanghai Shenhua29+1337
9Chongqing Tongliang Long29-336
10Hangzhou Greentown29-334
Match preview
Our model makes Yunnan Yukun slight favourites, giving them a 55% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.81 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.3 goals in total (2.54 for Yunnan Yukun, 1.74 for Wuhan Three Towns), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Yunnan Yukun sit 6th on 40 points; Wuhan Three Towns are 15th on 22.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.