Over 1.5 goals@1.52
Over 1.5
66%
GHAPremier League · Matchday 9Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Wenchi Sports Stadium
Young Apostles
17th · 6 pts0–0LIVE 22'
Karela
14th · 9 pts31% Young
28% Draw
41% Karela
OUR PICK
Karela to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.46
Expected goals
1.03 – 1.23
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.25X3.5122.46
Goals 2.5Over2.42Under1.65
Both scoreGG2.05NG1.84
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.65
Under 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.84
NG
54%
Double chance@1.40
12
72%
Season stats
Young ApostlesKarela0.6Goals per game1.0
1.6Conceded per game1.4
0.75Points per game1.13
25%Win rate38%
-8Goal difference-3
3Form, last 5 (pts)6
Young Apostles form
DLLWLH Karela0–0
H Swedru All Blacks1–2
A Asante Kotoko2–1
H Aduana Stars1–0
A Samartex1–0
Karela form
DLLWLA Young Apostles0–0
H Port City1–2
A Swedru All Blacks2–0
H Dreams1–0
A Asante Kotoko1–0
Head to head
2
Young
0
Draw
3
Karela
May 2026Karela – Young Apostles2–1
Dec 2025Young Apostles – Karela2–1
Jun 2025Karela – Young Apostles3–0
Feb 2025Karela – Young Apostles1–0
Jan 2025Young Apostles – Karela2–0
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Medeama8+717
2Hearts of Oak8+717
3Port City9+415
4Samartex8+415
5Swedru All Blacks8+314
6Bechem United8+213
7Aduana Stars8+213
8Basake Holy Stars8-312
9Asante Kotoko8012
10Berekum Chelsea8+111
Match preview
Our model makes Karela slight favourites, giving them a 41% chance of winning against 28% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.46 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.3 goals in total (1.03 for Young Apostles, 1.23 for Karela), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Young Apostles sit 17th on 6 points; Karela are 14th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.