Over 1.5 goals@1.45
Over 1.5
69%
JPNJ2 League · Matchday 10Saturday, 10 October 2026 · MNHK Spring Mitsuzawa Football Stadium
Yokohama FC
4th · 25 pts1–2FULL TIME
Oita Trinita
10th · 19 pts50% Yokohama
26% Draw
24% Oita
OUR PICK
Yokohama FC to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
2.01
Expected goals
1.47 – 0.93
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.01X3.7924.19
Goals 2.5Over2.19Under1.76
Both scoreGG2.01NG1.87
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.76
Under 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.87
NG
53%
Double chance@1.31
1X
76%
Season stats
Yokohama FCOita Trinita1.9Goals per game1.2
1.1Conceded per game0.9
1.79Points per game1.36
50%Win rate29%
10Goal difference5
8Form, last 5 (pts)8
Yokohama FC form
WDWDLA Tokushima Vortis0–1
A Omiya Ardija2–2
A Ventforet Kofu0–3
A Tochigi City1–1
H Urawa0–4
Oita Trinita form
LDDWWA Tegevajaro Miyazaki2–0
H Ventforet Kofu1–1
A Jubilo Iwata0–0
H Albirex Niigata5–1
A Yokohama FC1–2
Head to head
1
Yokohama
2
Draw
2
Oita
Oct 2026Yokohama FC – Oita Trinita1–2
Sept 2024Yokohama FC – Oita Trinita1–1
Mar 2024Oita Trinita – Yokohama FC0–0
Oct 2022Yokohama FC – Oita Trinita2–3
Mar 2022Oita Trinita – Yokohama FC1–2
J2 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Vegalta Sendai14+1027
2Albirex Niigata14-326
3Kataller Toyama14+1225
4Yokohama FC14+1025
5Omiya Ardija14+824
6Tegevajaro Miyazaki14+523
7Shonan Bellmare14+222
8Iwaki14+320
9Consadole Sapporo14-220
10Oita Trinita14+519
Match preview
Our model makes Yokohama FC slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.01 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.47 for Yokohama FC, 0.93 for Oita Trinita), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Yokohama FC sit 4th on 25 points; Oita Trinita are 10th on 19.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.