Over 1.5 goals@1.34
Over 1.5
75%
JPNJ1 League · Matchday 14Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Nissan Stadium
Yokohama F. Marinos
8th · 21 pts06:00KICK-OFF WAT
Fagiano Okayama
10th · 16 pts60% Yokohama
23% Draw
17% Fagiano
OUR PICK
Yokohama F. Marinos to win
Model probability 60% · fair odds
1.67
Expected goals
1.81 – 0.86
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.67X4.4025.72
Goals 2.5Over1.89Under1.99
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.93
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.99
Under 2.5
50%
Both teams to score@1.93
NG
52%
Double chance@1.21
1X
83%
Season stats
Yokohama F. MarinosFagiano Okayama1.5Goals per game1.2
1.1Conceded per game1.6
1.62Points per game1.23
38%Win rate38%
6Goal difference-6
7Form, last 5 (pts)3
Yokohama F. Marinos form
WWDDDH Kawasaki Frontale4–2
H Sanfrecce Hiroshima4–3
A Nagoya Grampus1–1
H Tokyo Verdy2–2
A JEF United Chiba0–0
Fagiano Okayama form
LLWLDH FC Tokyo0–4
A Kawasaki Frontale2–1
H Mito Hollyhock2–0
H Vissel Kobe0–3
A Nagoya Grampus3–3
Head to head
0
Yokohama
0
Draw
2
Fagiano
Jun 2025Yokohama F. Marinos – Fagiano Okayama0–1
Mar 2025Fagiano Okayama – Yokohama F. Marinos1–0
J1 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Tokyo13+2330
2Sanfrecce Hiroshima13+2229
3Machida Zelvia13+2028
4Kashiwa Reysol13+1028
5Vissel Kobe13+926
6Kashima13+723
7Kawasaki Frontale13+522
8Yokohama F. Marinos13+621
9Urawa13-621
10Fagiano Okayama13-616
Match preview
Our model makes Yokohama F. Marinos clear favourites, giving them a 60% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.67 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.81 for Yokohama F. Marinos, 0.86 for Fagiano Okayama), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Yokohama F. Marinos sit 8th on 21 points; Fagiano Okayama are 10th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.