Over 1.5 goals@1.20
Over 1.5
83%
ENGLeague One · Matchday 14Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Adams Park
Wycombe
13th · 18 pts2–0FULL TIME
Burton Albion
15th · 17 pts48% Wycombe
23% Draw
29% Burton
OUR PICK
Wycombe to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.09
Expected goals
1.84 – 1.40
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.09X4.4023.40
Goals 2.5Over1.59Under2.55
Both scoreGG1.58NG2.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.59
Over 2.5
63%
Both teams to score@1.58
GG
63%
Double chance@1.29
12
77%
Season stats
WycombeBurton Albion1.6Goals per game1.3
1.8Conceded per game1.5
1.38Points per game1.21
31%Win rate29%
-2Goal difference-3
8Form, last 5 (pts)5
Wycombe form
No recent matches.
Burton Albion form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Wycombe
0
Draw
0
Burton
These sides haven't met recently.
League One table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Huddersfield13+1628
2Stockport County14+1226
3Oxford United12+923
4Luton13+623
5Plymouth14+223
6Reading13+1222
7Bradford13+222
8Cambridge United14021
9Sheffield Wednesday12+819
10Leicester13+319
Match preview
Our model makes Wycombe slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.09 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.84 for Wycombe, 1.40 for Burton Albion), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Wycombe sit 13th on 18 points; Burton Albion are 15th on 17.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.