Over 1.5 goals@1.10
Over 1.5
91%
CHNSuper League · Matchday 28Sunday, 18 October 2026 · Wuhan Sports Centre
Wuhan Three Towns
15th · 22 pts1–3FULL TIME
Shanghai Shenhua
8th · 37 pts35% Wuhan
21% Draw
44% Shanghai
OUR PICK
Shanghai Shenhua to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.25
Expected goals
1.89 – 2.14
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.86X4.8722.25
Goals 2.5Over1.31Under4.10
Both scoreGG1.34NG3.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.31
Over 2.5
77%
Both teams to score@1.34
GG
75%
Double chance@1.26
12
79%
Season stats
Wuhan Three TownsShanghai Shenhua1.5Goals per game2.2
1.9Conceded per game1.7
0.76Points per game1.28
17%Win rate48%
-11Goal difference13
2Form, last 5 (pts)9
Wuhan Three Towns form
LLDLDH Shandong Luneng3–5
H Shanghai Shenhua1–3
A Shenyang Urban1–1
A Hangzhou Greentown4–1
H Henan Jianye1–1
Shanghai Shenhua form
LLWDWH Machida Zelvia0–1
A Sichuan Jiuniu2–1
A Wuhan Three Towns1–3
A Svay Rieng0–0
H Yunnan Yukun7–1
Head to head
1
Wuhan
1
Draw
3
Shanghai
Oct 2026Wuhan Three Towns – Shanghai Shenhua1–3
May 2026Shanghai Shenhua – Wuhan Three Towns2–2
Aug 2025Wuhan Three Towns – Shanghai Shenhua1–0
Apr 2025Shanghai Shenhua – Wuhan Three Towns2–0
Jul 2024Wuhan Three Towns – Shanghai Shenhua0–2
Super League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Chengdu Better City29+1652
2Dalian Zhixing29+349
3Beijing Guoan29+2147
4Shandong Luneng29+1044
5SHANGHAI SIPG29+1442
6Yunnan Yukun29-340
7Qingdao Youth Island29-639
8Shanghai Shenhua29+1337
9Chongqing Tongliang Long29-336
10Hangzhou Greentown29-334
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Wuhan Three Towns 35%, the draw 21%, Shanghai Shenhua 44%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.25 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.0 goals in total (1.89 for Wuhan Three Towns, 2.14 for Shanghai Shenhua), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Wuhan Three Towns sit 15th on 22 points; Shanghai Shenhua are 8th on 37.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.