Over 1.5 goals@1.10
Over 1.5
91%
AUT2. Liga · Matchday 12Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Huber-Arena
WSPG Wels
15th · 8 pts15:30KICK-OFF WAT
Sturm Graz II
13th · 11 pts38% WSPG
21% Draw
42% Sturm
OUR PICK
Sturm Graz II to win
Model probability 42% · fair odds
2.41
Expected goals
1.95 – 2.05
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.65X4.8322.41
Goals 2.5Over1.31Under3.93
Both scoreGG1.34NG3.77
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.31
Over 2.5
76%
Both teams to score@1.34
GG
75%
Double chance@1.26
12
79%
Season stats
WSPG WelsSturm Graz II1.3Goals per game1.6
2.5Conceded per game2.2
0.73Points per game1.00
18%Win rate27%
-13Goal difference-6
4Form, last 5 (pts)4
WSPG Wels form
LWLDWA SKN ST. Polten2–1
H Wolfsberger AC1–0
H Voitsberg2–6
A Austria Vienna (Am)2–2
H Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz1–0
Sturm Graz II form
WLLLDH Voitsberg2–0
A Austria Vienna (Am)1–0
H SV Kapfenberg0–2
A FC Liefering3–1
H Wacker Innsbruck2–2
Head to head
2
WSPG
0
Draw
0
Sturm
May 2026WSPG Wels – Sturm Graz II2–0
Nov 2025Sturm Graz II – WSPG Wels0–3
2. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC BW Linz11+2628
2First Vienna11+625
3Austria Vienna (Am)11+522
4Austria Salzburg11+619
5Admira Wacker11+218
6SKU Amstetten11+117
7FC Liefering11-117
8Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz11-115
9Floridsdorfer AC11-214
10Wacker Innsbruck11014
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: WSPG Wels 38%, the draw 21%, Sturm Graz II 42%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.41 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.0 goals in total (1.95 for WSPG Wels, 2.05 for Sturm Graz II), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
WSPG Wels sit 15th on 8 points; Sturm Graz II are 13th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.