Over 1.5 goals@1.23
Over 1.5
82%
AUTBundesliga · Matchday 10Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Tivoli Stadion Tirol
WSG Wattens
7th · 12 pts1–1FULL TIME
Grazer AK
9th · 10 pts69% WSG
18% Draw
13% Grazer
OUR PICK
WSG Wattens to win
Model probability 69% · fair odds
1.45
Expected goals
2.25 – 0.86
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.45X5.4627.74
Goals 2.5Over1.67Under2.36
Both scoreGG1.94NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.67
Over 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.94
GG
52%
Double chance@1.15
1X
87%
Season stats
WSG WattensGrazer AK1.3Goals per game0.7
1.5Conceded per game2.5
1.09Points per game0.91
27%Win rate18%
-3Goal difference-19
4Form, last 5 (pts)3
WSG Wattens form
LDDWLA Lask Linz2–1
A Wacker Innsbruck2–2
H Grazer AK1–1
A Wolfsberger AC0–2
H Ried1–2
Grazer AK form
LLDLDH TSV Hartberg0–4
H SCR Altach0–4
A WSG Wattens1–1
A Sturm Graz6–1
H Red Bull Salzburg0–0
Head to head
1
WSG
2
Draw
2
Grazer
Oct 2026WSG Wattens – Grazer AK1–1
May 2026Grazer AK – WSG Wattens4–0
Mar 2026WSG Wattens – Grazer AK1–5
Mar 2026WSG Wattens – Grazer AK2–0
Aug 2025Grazer AK – WSG Wattens1–1
Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Rapid Vienna11+2430
2Red Bull Salzburg11+2327
3Lask Linz11+1322
4Sturm Graz11+619
5TSV Hartberg11+117
6Ried11+116
7WSG Wattens11-312
8SCR Altach11-610
9Grazer AK11-1910
10Austria Lustenau11-168
Match preview
Our model makes WSG Wattens clear favourites, giving them a 69% chance of winning against 18% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.45 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (2.25 for WSG Wattens, 0.86 for Grazer AK), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
WSG Wattens sit 7th on 12 points; Grazer AK are 9th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.