Over 1.5 goals@1.46
Over 1.5
68%
ENGChampionship · Matchday 10Tuesday, 13 October 2026 · Racecourse Ground
Wrexham
18th · 14 pts1–2FULL TIME
West Brom
4th · 24 pts33% Wrexham
28% Draw
39% West
OUR PICK
West Brom to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.56
Expected goals
1.12 – 1.24
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.02X3.5922.56
Goals 2.5Over2.25Under1.72
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.92
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.72
Under 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.92
NG
52%
Double chance@1.39
12
72%
Season stats
WrexhamWest Brom1.2Goals per game1.5
1.5Conceded per game1.1
1.08Points per game1.85
23%Win rate54%
-4Goal difference5
4Form, last 5 (pts)10
Wrexham form
LLWLDA Sheffield Utd1–0
A Blackburn2–0
H Preston4–1
H West Brom1–2
A Derby1–1
West Brom form
WDWWLA West Ham1–3
A Preston1–1
H Blackburn3–2
A Wrexham1–2
H Birmingham0–1
Head to head
0
Wrexham
1
Draw
2
West
Oct 2026Wrexham – West Brom1–2
Apr 2026West Brom – Wrexham2–2
Aug 2025Wrexham – West Brom2–3
Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Middlesbrough13+1328
2Swansea13+726
3Wolves13+724
4West Brom13+524
5Southampton13+1523
6Birmingham13+1023
7Stoke City13+423
8West Ham13+1522
9QPR13+520
10Sheffield Utd13+219
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Wrexham 33%, the draw 28%, West Brom 39%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.56 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.12 for Wrexham, 1.24 for West Brom), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Wrexham sit 18th on 14 points; West Brom are 4th on 24.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.