Over 1.5 goals@1.22
Over 1.5
82%
ENGChampionship · Matchday 13Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Molineux Stadium
Wolves
3rd · 24 pts3–0FULL TIME
Cardiff
17th · 14 pts56% Wolves
22% Draw
22% Cardiff
OUR PICK
Wolves to win
Model probability 56% · fair odds
1.77
Expected goals
1.97 – 1.15
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.77X4.6024.57
Goals 2.5Over1.66Under2.36
Both scoreGG1.70NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.66
Over 2.5
60%
Both teams to score@1.70
GG
59%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
WolvesCardiff1.8Goals per game1.5
1.2Conceded per game1.5
1.85Points per game1.08
54%Win rate23%
7Goal difference-1
10Form, last 5 (pts)7
Wolves form
No recent matches.
Cardiff form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Wolves
0
Draw
0
Cardiff
These sides haven't met recently.
Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Middlesbrough13+1328
2Swansea13+726
3Wolves13+724
4West Brom13+524
5Southampton13+1523
6Birmingham13+1023
7Stoke City13+423
8West Ham13+1522
9QPR13+520
10Sheffield Utd13+219
Match preview
Our model makes Wolves clear favourites, giving them a 56% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.77 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.97 for Wolves, 1.15 for Cardiff), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Wolves sit 3rd on 24 points; Cardiff are 17th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.