Over 1.5 goals@1.16
Over 1.5
86%
ENGChampionship · Matchday 10Tuesday, 13 October 2026 · Molineux Stadium
Wolves
3rd · 24 pts1–3FULL TIME
Bolton
19th · 14 pts72% Wolves
16% Draw
12% Bolton
OUR PICK
Wolves to win
Model probability 72% · fair odds
1.38
Expected goals
2.57 – 0.94
Confidence
Very high
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.38X6.2428.60
Goals 2.5Over1.47Under2.95
Both scoreGG1.78NG2.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.47
Over 2.5
68%
Both teams to score@1.78
GG
56%
Double chance@1.13
1X
88%
Season stats
WolvesBolton1.8Goals per game1.4
1.2Conceded per game2.0
1.85Points per game1.08
54%Win rate31%
7Goal difference-8
10Form, last 5 (pts)4
Wolves form
WWDWLH Cardiff3–0
H Watford1–0
H Portsmouth1–1
A Burnley1–2
H Bolton1–3
Bolton form
LLDWLH Bristol City2–3
H Middlesbrough1–5
A Southampton0–0
A Wolves1–3
H Stoke City1–2
Head to head
2
Wolves
1
Draw
2
Bolton
Oct 2026Wolves – Bolton1–3
Apr 2018Bolton – Wolves0–4
Nov 2017Wolves – Bolton5–1
Feb 2016Wolves – Bolton2–2
Sept 2015Bolton – Wolves2–1
Championship table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Middlesbrough13+1328
2Swansea13+726
3Wolves13+724
4West Brom13+524
5Southampton13+1523
6Birmingham13+1023
7Stoke City13+423
8West Ham13+1522
9QPR13+520
10Sheffield Utd13+219
Match preview
Our model makes Wolves clear favourites, giving them a 72% chance of winning against 16% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.38 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (2.57 for Wolves, 0.94 for Bolton), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Wolves sit 3rd on 24 points; Bolton are 19th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.