Over 1.5 goals@1.35
Over 1.5
74%
AUTBundesliga · Matchday 11Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Lavanttal-Arena
Wolfsberger AC
12th · 5 pts1–1FULL TIME
Sturm Graz
4th · 18 pts18% Wolfsberger
23% Draw
58% Sturm
OUR PICK
Sturm Graz to win
Model probability 58% · fair odds
1.71
Expected goals
0.88 – 1.77
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X215.43X4.3121.71
Goals 2.5Over1.93Under1.98
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.94
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.98
Under 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.94
NG
51%
Double chance@1.23
X2
82%
Season stats
Wolfsberger ACSturm Graz0.7Goals per game1.8
1.9Conceded per game1.2
0.50Points per game1.80
10%Win rate50%
-12Goal difference6
0Form, last 5 (pts)10
Wolfsberger AC form
No recent matches.
Sturm Graz form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Wolfsberger
0
Draw
0
Sturm
These sides haven't met recently.
Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Rapid Vienna10+2227
2Red Bull Salzburg10+1924
3Lask Linz11+1322
4Sturm Graz10+618
5TSV Hartberg11+117
6Ried11+116
7WSG Wattens11-312
8SCR Altach11-610
9Grazer AK11-1910
10Austria Lustenau10-128
Match preview
Our model makes Sturm Graz clear favourites, giving them a 58% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.71 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (0.88 for Wolfsberger AC, 1.77 for Sturm Graz), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Wolfsberger AC sit 12th on 5 points; Sturm Graz are 4th on 18.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.