Over 1.5 goals@1.14
Over 1.5
87%
POLEkstraklasa · Matchday 12Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana
Wisla Krakow
7th · 21 pts2–1FULL TIME
Raków Częstochowa
18th · 6 pts64% Wisla
19% Draw
18% Raków
OUR PICK
Wisla Krakow to win
Model probability 64% · fair odds
1.57
Expected goals
2.40 – 1.20
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.57X5.4025.65
Goals 2.5Over1.44Under3.14
Both scoreGG1.57NG2.62
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.44
Over 2.5
70%
Both teams to score@1.57
GG
64%
Double chance@1.22
1X
82%
Season stats
Wisla KrakowRaków Częstochowa1.5Goals per game1.3
1.4Conceded per game2.3
1.62Points per game0.50
46%Win rate17%
2Goal difference-12
7Form, last 5 (pts)3
Wisla Krakow form
LWDLWA Lech Poznan3–1
H Raków Częstochowa2–1
A Widzew Łódź0–0
A Legia Warszawa2–0
A Piast Gliwice3–4
Raków Częstochowa form
DLWLWA Motor Lublin1–1
A Wisla Krakow2–1
A Wieczysta Kraków1–2
H GKS Katowice1–4
H Polonia Bytom4–1
Head to head
1
Wisla
1
Draw
3
Raków
Oct 2026Wisla Krakow – Raków Częstochowa2–1
Feb 2022Raków Częstochowa – Wisla Krakow2–0
Aug 2021Wisla Krakow – Raków Częstochowa1–2
Apr 2021Wisla Krakow – Raków Częstochowa1–2
Nov 2020Raków Częstochowa – Wisla Krakow0–0
Ekstraklasa table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Lech Poznan12+2131
2Gornik Zabrze13+1028
3Legia Warszawa13+1224
4Pogon Szczecin11+1024
5GKS Katowice13+621
6Piast Gliwice13+421
7Wisla Krakow13+221
8Zaglebie Lubin12019
9Jagiellonia12-118
10Korona Kielce12-418
Match preview
Our model makes Wisla Krakow clear favourites, giving them a 64% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.57 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (2.40 for Wisla Krakow, 1.20 for Raków Częstochowa), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Wisla Krakow sit 7th on 21 points; Raków Częstochowa are 18th on 6.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.