Over 1.5 goals@1.13
Over 1.5
89%
POLEkstraklasa · Matchday 11Friday, 16 October 2026 · Synerise Arena - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana
Wieczysta Kraków
16th · 8 pts1–2FULL TIME
Raków Częstochowa
18th · 6 pts55% Wieczysta
20% Draw
25% Raków
OUR PICK
Wieczysta Kraków to win
Model probability 55% · fair odds
1.82
Expected goals
2.27 – 1.49
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.82X4.9924.02
Goals 2.5Over1.38Under3.37
Both scoreGG1.44NG3.04
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.38
Over 2.5
72%
Both teams to score@1.44
GG
69%
Double chance@1.25
12
80%
Season stats
Wieczysta KrakówRaków Częstochowa1.3Goals per game1.3
2.0Conceded per game2.3
0.62Points per game0.50
15%Win rate17%
-9Goal difference-12
3Form, last 5 (pts)3
Wieczysta Kraków form
LLLLWH Jagiellonia1–3
A Slask Wroclaw2–0
H Raków Częstochowa1–2
A GKS Katowice2–1
H Wisla Plock3–0
Raków Częstochowa form
DLWLWA Motor Lublin1–1
A Wisla Krakow2–1
A Wieczysta Kraków1–2
H GKS Katowice1–4
H Polonia Bytom4–1
Head to head
0
Wieczysta
0
Draw
1
Raków
Oct 2026Wieczysta Kraków – Raków Częstochowa1–2
Ekstraklasa table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Lech Poznan12+2131
2Gornik Zabrze13+1028
3Legia Warszawa13+1224
4Pogon Szczecin11+1024
5GKS Katowice13+621
6Piast Gliwice13+421
7Wisla Krakow13+221
8Zaglebie Lubin12019
9Jagiellonia12-118
10Korona Kielce12-418
Match preview
Our model makes Wieczysta Kraków slight favourites, giving them a 55% chance of winning against 20% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.82 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.8 goals in total (2.27 for Wieczysta Kraków, 1.49 for Raków Częstochowa), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Wieczysta Kraków sit 16th on 8 points; Raków Częstochowa are 18th on 6.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.