Over 1.5 goals@1.22
Over 1.5
82%
POLEkstraklasa · Matchday 11Friday, 16 October 2026 · Stadion Widzewa Łódź
Widzew Łódź
14th · 11 pts0–0FULL TIME
Wisla Krakow
8th · 21 pts40% Widzew
24% Draw
36% Wisla
OUR PICK
Widzew Łódź to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.49
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.52
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.49X4.2222.76
Goals 2.5Over1.65Under2.42
Both scoreGG1.60NG2.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.65
Over 2.5
61%
Both teams to score@1.60
GG
63%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
Widzew ŁódźWisla Krakow1.3Goals per game1.5
1.5Conceded per game1.4
0.85Points per game1.62
8%Win rate46%
-2Goal difference2
3Form, last 5 (pts)7
Widzew Łódź form
LDDLDA GKS Katowice3–2
H Gornik Zabrze1–1
H Wisla Krakow0–0
A Piast Gliwice2–1
H Górnik Łęczna2–2
Wisla Krakow form
LWDLWA Lech Poznan3–1
H Raków Częstochowa2–1
A Widzew Łódź0–0
A Legia Warszawa2–0
A Piast Gliwice3–4
Head to head
0
Widzew
1
Draw
2
Wisla
Oct 2026Widzew Łódź – Wisla Krakow0–0
Feb 2024Wisla Krakow – Widzew Łódź2–1
Dec 2021Widzew Łódź – Wisla Krakow1–3
Ekstraklasa table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Lech Poznan12+2131
2Gornik Zabrze13+1028
3Legia Warszawa13+1224
4Pogon Szczecin12+824
5Zaglebie Lubin13+122
6GKS Katowice13+621
7Piast Gliwice13+421
8Wisla Krakow13+221
9Jagiellonia12-118
10Korona Kielce13-518
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Widzew Łódź 40%, the draw 24%, Wisla Krakow 36%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.49 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.61 for Widzew Łódź, 1.52 for Wisla Krakow), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Widzew Łódź sit 14th on 11 points; Wisla Krakow are 8th on 21.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.