Over 1.5 goals@1.08
Over 1.5
93%
GERBundesliga · Matchday 8Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Weser-Stadion
Werder Bremen
5th · 15 pts2–0FULL TIME
1899 Hoffenheim
11th · 9 pts51% Werder
19% Draw
30% 1899
OUR PICK
Werder Bremen to win
Model probability 51% · fair odds
1.96
Expected goals
2.44 – 1.86
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.96X5.1823.36
Goals 2.5Over1.25Under4.72
Both scoreGG1.30NG4.10
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.25
Over 2.5
80%
Both teams to score@1.30
GG
77%
Double chance@1.24
12
81%
Season stats
Werder Bremen1899 Hoffenheim2.1Goals per game1.8
1.8Conceded per game2.0
1.88Points per game1.13
50%Win rate38%
3Goal difference-2
11Form, last 5 (pts)6
Werder Bremen form
No recent matches.
1899 Hoffenheim form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Werder
0
Draw
0
1899
These sides haven't met recently.
Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Bayern München8+1918
2Borussia Dortmund8+818
3SC Freiburg8+816
4RB Leipzig8+1115
5Werder Bremen8+315
6Bayer Leverkusen8+213
7SV Elversberg8013
8FSV Mainz 058010
9FC Augsburg8+39
10VfB Stuttgart8-19
Match preview
Our model makes Werder Bremen slight favourites, giving them a 51% chance of winning against 19% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.96 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.3 goals in total (2.44 for Werder Bremen, 1.86 for 1899 Hoffenheim), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Werder Bremen sit 5th on 15 points; 1899 Hoffenheim are 11th on 9.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.