Over 1.5 goals@1.88
Over 1.5
53%
NGANPFL · Matchday 12Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Warri Township Stadium
Warri Wolves
14th · 13 pts16:00KICK-OFF WAT
Katsina United
9th · 16 pts38% Warri
33% Draw
29% Katsina
OUR PICK
Warri Wolves to win
Model probability 38% · fair odds
2.60
Expected goals
0.98 – 0.80
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.60X3.0423.50
Goals 2.5Over3.63Under1.36
Both scoreGG2.77NG1.52
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.36
Under 2.5
74%
Both teams to score@1.52
NG
66%
Double chance@1.40
1X
71%
Season stats
Warri WolvesKatsina United0.6Goals per game1.3
0.7Conceded per game1.4
1.18Points per game1.45
27%Win rate36%
-1Goal difference-1
6Form, last 5 (pts)8
Warri Wolves form
DDDWLA Plateau United1–1
H Kano Pillars0–0
A Enyimba0–0
H Inter Lagos3–1
A Doma United1–0
Katsina United form
WDLWDH Sporting Lagos2–1
H Plateau United2–2
A Kano Pillars1–0
H Enyimba4–2
A Inter Lagos1–1
Head to head
4
Warri
0
Draw
1
Katsina
Jan 2026Warri Wolves – Katsina United2–0
Aug 2025Katsina United – Warri Wolves0–1
May 2021Katsina United – Warri Wolves1–0
Jan 2021Warri Wolves – Katsina United3–0
Feb 2020Warri Wolves – Katsina United2–0
NPFL table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Rivers United11+1018
2Enugu Rangers9+518
3Bendel Insurance10+318
4Kano Pillars11+318
5Nasarawa United11+117
6Plateau United11+416
7Barau FC11+316
8Niger Tornadoes11+116
9Katsina United11-116
10Shooting Stars11+115
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Warri Wolves 38%, the draw 33%, Katsina United 29%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.60 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.8 goals in total (0.98 for Warri Wolves, 0.80 for Katsina United), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Warri Wolves sit 14th on 13 points; Katsina United are 9th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.