Over 1.5 goals@1.85
Over 1.5
54%
NGANPFL · Matchday 10Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Warri Township Stadium
Warri Wolves
14th · 13 pts0–0FULL TIME
Kano Pillars
4th · 18 pts33% Warri
33% Draw
34% Kano
OUR PICK
Kano Pillars to win
Model probability 34% · fair odds
2.90
Expected goals
0.89 – 0.92
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.05X3.0522.90
Goals 2.5Over3.49Under1.37
Both scoreGG2.70NG1.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.37
Under 2.5
73%
Both teams to score@1.55
NG
65%
Double chance@1.49
12
67%
Season stats
Warri WolvesKano Pillars0.6Goals per game1.3
0.7Conceded per game1.0
1.18Points per game1.64
27%Win rate36%
-1Goal difference3
6Form, last 5 (pts)8
Warri Wolves form
DDDWLA Plateau United1–1
H Kano Pillars0–0
A Enyimba0–0
H Inter Lagos3–1
A Doma United1–0
Kano Pillars form
WDWLDH Nasarawa United2–0
A Warri Wolves0–0
H Katsina United1–0
A Plateau United4–0
A Shooting Stars0–0
Head to head
0
Warri
3
Draw
2
Kano
Oct 2026Warri Wolves – Kano Pillars0–0
May 2026Kano Pillars – Warri Wolves1–0
Dec 2025Warri Wolves – Kano Pillars0–0
May 2021Warri Wolves – Kano Pillars1–1
Apr 2021Kano Pillars – Warri Wolves1–0
NPFL table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Rivers United11+1018
2Enugu Rangers9+518
3Bendel Insurance10+318
4Kano Pillars11+318
5Nasarawa United11+117
6Plateau United11+416
7Barau FC11+316
8Niger Tornadoes11+116
9Katsina United11-116
10Shooting Stars11+115
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Warri Wolves 33%, the draw 33%, Kano Pillars 34%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.90 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.8 goals in total (0.89 for Warri Wolves, 0.92 for Kano Pillars), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Warri Wolves sit 14th on 13 points; Kano Pillars are 4th on 18.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.