Over 1.5 goals@1.46
Over 1.5
68%
GER3. Liga · Matchday 13Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Carl-Benz Stadion
Waldhof Mannheim
8th · 16 pts14:00KICK-OFF WAT
Fortuna Köln
19th · 10 pts53% Waldhof
26% Draw
21% Fortuna
OUR PICK
Waldhof Mannheim to win
Model probability 53% · fair odds
1.89
Expected goals
1.51 – 0.85
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.89X3.8424.72
Goals 2.5Over2.25Under1.72
Both scoreGG2.10NG1.81
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.72
Under 2.5
58%
Both teams to score@1.81
NG
55%
Double chance@1.27
1X
79%
Season stats
Waldhof MannheimFortuna Köln1.8Goals per game0.8
1.6Conceded per game1.2
1.33Points per game0.83
42%Win rate17%
2Goal difference-5
6Form, last 5 (pts)1
Waldhof Mannheim form
LWLLWA FC Saarbrücken2–1
H Hoffenheim II4–1
A Würzburger Kickers2–0
H FC Ingolstadt 040–3
A SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1–5
Fortuna Köln form
LLLLDH Würzburger Kickers1–2
A Preußen Münster1–0
H Stuttgart II0–1
A Rot-Weiß Essen2–0
H FC Saarbrücken0–0
Head to head
0
Waldhof
0
Draw
0
Fortuna
These sides haven't met recently.
3. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln12+1626
2MSV Duisburg12+1426
3Rot-Weiß Essen12+724
4FC Saarbrücken12+720
5Alemannia Aachen12+120
6SV Wehen12+618
7FC Ingolstadt 0412-118
8Waldhof Mannheim12+216
9Hoffenheim II12+116
10Fortuna Düsseldorf12-216
Match preview
Our model makes Waldhof Mannheim clear favourites, giving them a 53% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.89 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.51 for Waldhof Mannheim, 0.85 for Fortuna Köln), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Waldhof Mannheim sit 8th on 16 points; Fortuna Köln are 19th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.