Over 1.5 goals@1.24
Over 1.5
81%
GER3. Liga · Matchday 9Wednesday, 14 October 2026 · Carl-Benz-Stadion
Waldhof Mannheim
8th · 16 pts0–3FULL TIME
FC Ingolstadt 04
7th · 18 pts58% Waldhof
22% Draw
20% FC
OUR PICK
Waldhof Mannheim to win
Model probability 58% · fair odds
1.72
Expected goals
1.97 – 1.07
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.72X4.6224.96
Goals 2.5Over1.71Under2.30
Both scoreGG1.77NG2.19
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.71
Over 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.77
GG
57%
Double chance@1.25
1X
80%
Season stats
Waldhof MannheimFC Ingolstadt 041.8Goals per game1.3
1.6Conceded per game1.4
1.33Points per game1.50
42%Win rate42%
2Goal difference-1
6Form, last 5 (pts)10
Waldhof Mannheim form
LWLLWA FC Saarbrücken2–1
H Hoffenheim II4–1
A Würzburger Kickers2–0
H FC Ingolstadt 040–3
A SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1–5
FC Ingolstadt 04 form
DWWWLA Havelse1–1
H MSV Duisburg2–1
H Rot-Weiß Essen1–0
A Waldhof Mannheim0–3
H SV Wehen2–4
Head to head
0
Waldhof
2
Draw
3
FC
Oct 2026Waldhof Mannheim – FC Ingolstadt 040–3
May 2026FC Ingolstadt 04 – Waldhof Mannheim5–1
Dec 2025Waldhof Mannheim – FC Ingolstadt 042–2
Jan 2025Waldhof Mannheim – FC Ingolstadt 040–0
Aug 2024FC Ingolstadt 04 – Waldhof Mannheim2–1
3. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln12+1626
2MSV Duisburg12+1426
3Rot-Weiß Essen12+724
4FC Saarbrücken12+720
5Alemannia Aachen12+120
6SV Wehen12+618
7FC Ingolstadt 0412-118
8Waldhof Mannheim12+216
9Hoffenheim II12+116
10Fortuna Düsseldorf12-216
Match preview
Our model makes Waldhof Mannheim clear favourites, giving them a 58% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.72 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.97 for Waldhof Mannheim, 1.07 for FC Ingolstadt 04), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Waldhof Mannheim sit 8th on 16 points; FC Ingolstadt 04 are 7th on 18.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.