Over 1.5 goals@1.16
Over 1.5
86%
GER3. Liga · Matchday 13Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Flyeralarm Arena
Würzburger Kickers
15th · 14 pts19:30KICK-OFF WAT
Hoffenheim II
9th · 16 pts36% Würzburger
22% Draw
41% Hoffenheim
OUR PICK
Hoffenheim II to win
Model probability 41% · fair odds
2.42
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.79
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.75X4.4622.42
Goals 2.5Over1.49Under2.86
Both scoreGG1.48NG2.95
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.49
Over 2.5
67%
Both teams to score@1.48
GG
68%
Double chance@1.29
12
78%
Season stats
Würzburger KickersHoffenheim II1.4Goals per game1.8
2.0Conceded per game1.7
1.17Points per game1.33
33%Win rate42%
-7Goal difference1
7Form, last 5 (pts)3
Würzburger Kickers form
WLWDLA Fortuna Köln1–2
A SV Meppen4–0
H Waldhof Mannheim2–0
A Havelse2–2
H Hansa Rostock0–2
Hoffenheim II form
LLWLLH FC Viktoria Köln0–1
A Waldhof Mannheim4–1
H Verl2–1
A Stuttgart II3–2
A MSV Duisburg3–2
Head to head
0
Würzburger
0
Draw
2
Hoffenheim
Jan 2025Hoffenheim II – Würzburger Kickers3–1
Jan 2025Hoffenheim II – Würzburger Kickers3–1
3. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln12+1626
2MSV Duisburg12+1426
3Rot-Weiß Essen12+724
4FC Saarbrücken12+720
5Alemannia Aachen12+120
6SV Wehen12+618
7FC Ingolstadt 0412-118
8Waldhof Mannheim12+216
9Hoffenheim II12+116
10Fortuna Düsseldorf12-216
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Würzburger Kickers 36%, the draw 22%, Hoffenheim II 41%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.42 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.5 goals in total (1.67 for Würzburger Kickers, 1.79 for Hoffenheim II), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Würzburger Kickers sit 15th on 14 points; Hoffenheim II are 9th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.