Over 1.5 goals@1.26
Over 1.5
79%
ALBSuperliga · Matchday 6Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Loro Borici Stadium
Vllaznia Shkodër
9th · 8 pts1–0FULL TIME
Dinamo Tirana
3rd · 16 pts26% Vllaznia
24% Draw
50% Dinamo
OUR PICK
Dinamo Tirana to win
Model probability 50% · fair odds
2.00
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.74
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.79X4.2322.00
Goals 2.5Over1.78Under2.14
Both scoreGG1.74NG2.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.78
Over 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.74
GG
58%
Double chance@1.31
12
76%
Season stats
Vllaznia ShkodërDinamo Tirana1.1Goals per game1.4
1.7Conceded per game1.1
0.89Points per game1.78
22%Win rate56%
-5Goal difference3
6Form, last 5 (pts)7
Vllaznia Shkodër form
DLWLWA Skenderbeu Korce1–1
A Vora2–1
H Tirana2–0
A Egnatia Rrogozhinë3–1
H Dinamo Tirana1–0
Dinamo Tirana form
DWLLWA Tirana1–1
H Egnatia Rrogozhinë2–1
H Teuta Durrës0–2
A Vllaznia Shkodër1–0
H Otrant-Olympic4–1
Head to head
1
Vllaznia
2
Draw
2
Dinamo
Oct 2026Vllaznia Shkodër – Dinamo Tirana1–0
May 2026Vllaznia Shkodër – Dinamo Tirana0–2
Apr 2026Vllaznia Shkodër – Dinamo Tirana0–1
Apr 2026Dinamo Tirana – Vllaznia Shkodër1–1
Mar 2026Vllaznia Shkodër – Dinamo Tirana0–0
Superliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Egnatia Rrogozhinë10+1124
2Teuta Durrës9+1120
3Dinamo Tirana9+316
4Tirana10-112
5Laci9-311
6AF Elbasani9011
7Vora9-411
8Skenderbeu Korce9-110
9Vllaznia Shkodër9-58
10Partizani9-114
Match preview
Our model makes Dinamo Tirana slight favourites, giving them a 50% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.00 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.9 goals in total (1.20 for Vllaznia Shkodër, 1.74 for Dinamo Tirana), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Vllaznia Shkodër sit 9th on 8 points; Dinamo Tirana are 3rd on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.