Over 1.5 goals@1.38
Over 1.5
73%
ALBSuperliga · Matchday 11Saturday, 7 November 2026 · Loro Borici Stadium
Vllaznia Shkodër
9th · 9 pts18:30KICK-OFF WAT
AF Elbasani
4th · 14 pts34% Vllaznia
27% Draw
40% AF
OUR PICK
AF Elbasani to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.51
Expected goals
1.22 – 1.35
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.97X3.7722.51
Goals 2.5Over2.01Under1.90
Both scoreGG1.92NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.90
Under 2.5
53%
Both teams to score@1.92
GG
52%
Double chance@1.36
12
73%
Season stats
Vllaznia ShkodërAF Elbasani1.1Goals per game1.3
1.6Conceded per game1.2
0.90Points per game1.40
20%Win rate30%
-5Goal difference1
7Form, last 5 (pts)8
Vllaznia Shkodër form
DLWLWA Skenderbeu Korce1–1
A Vora2–1
H Tirana2–0
A Egnatia Rrogozhinë3–1
H Dinamo Tirana1–0
AF Elbasani form
WWDLDH Laci2–1
H Partizani2–1
A Teuta Durrës0–0
A Skenderbeu Korce2–1
H Vora1–1
Head to head
1
Vllaznia
1
Draw
3
AF
Aug 2026AF Elbasani – Vllaznia Shkodër1–1
May 2026Vllaznia Shkodër – AF Elbasani1–2
Apr 2026AF Elbasani – Vllaznia Shkodër3–1
Feb 2026Vllaznia Shkodër – AF Elbasani2–1
Dec 2025AF Elbasani – Vllaznia Shkodër1–0
Superliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Egnatia Rrogozhinë10+1124
2Teuta Durrës10+1020
3Dinamo Tirana10+317
4AF Elbasani10+114
5Tirana10-112
6Vora10-412
7Skenderbeu Korce10-111
8Laci10-411
9Vllaznia Shkodër10-59
10Partizani10-107
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Vllaznia Shkodër 34%, the draw 27%, AF Elbasani 40%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.51 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.22 for Vllaznia Shkodër, 1.35 for AF Elbasani), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Vllaznia Shkodër sit 9th on 9 points; AF Elbasani are 4th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.