Over 1.5 goals@1.54
Over 1.5
65%
PORSegunda Liga · Matchday 7Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Estadio do FC Vizela
Vizela
8th · 14 pts0–2FULL TIME
Sporting CP B
1st · 21 pts37% Vizela
29% Draw
34% Sporting
OUR PICK
Vizela to win
Model probability 37% · fair odds
2.72
Expected goals
1.13 – 1.08
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.72X3.4422.92
Goals 2.5Over2.48Under1.61
Both scoreGG2.10NG1.81
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.61
Under 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.81
NG
55%
Double chance@1.41
12
71%
Season stats
VizelaSporting CP B1.1Goals per game1.7
1.0Conceded per game0.8
1.56Points per game2.33
44%Win rate78%
1Goal difference8
7Form, last 5 (pts)12
Vizela form
WLLLWH Academica2–1
A Chaves2–1
A Atlético CP1–0
H Sporting CP B0–2
A Bombarralense0–1
Sporting CP B form
WWWWWA Leixoes1–2
A Leicester City U211–2
H Portimonense3–0
A Vizela0–2
A Nottingham Forest U212–4
Head to head
4
Vizela
0
Draw
1
Sporting
Oct 2026Vizela – Sporting CP B0–2
Apr 2026Vizela – Sporting CP B1–0
Dec 2025Sporting CP B – Vizela0–1
Feb 2017Vizela – Sporting CP B2–1
Aug 2016Sporting CP B – Vizela1–2
Segunda Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Sporting CP B9+821
2Lusitânia Lourosa9+719
3Benfica B9+517
4Penafiel8+1016
5Farense9+415
6Academica9+315
7Tondela9+215
8Vizela9+114
9União de Leiria9+214
10AVS9+112
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Vizela 37%, the draw 29%, Sporting CP B 34%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.72 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (1.13 for Vizela, 1.08 for Sporting CP B), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Vizela sit 8th on 14 points; Sporting CP B are 1st on 21.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.