PORSegunda Liga · Matchday 9Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Estadio do FC Vizela

Vizela

8th · 14 pts

2–1FULL TIME

Academica

6th · 15 pts

41% Vizela

27% Draw

33% Academica

OUR PICK

Vizela to win

Model probability 41% · fair odds

2.47

Expected goals

1.36 – 1.20

Confidence

Low

Fair odds

From our model, no margin

1X212.47X3.7723.03

Goals 2.5Over2.01Under1.89

Both scoreGG1.93NG1.97

Every market, one match

Over 1.5 goals@1.38

Over 1.5

72%

Over/Under 2.5@1.89

Under 2.5

53%

Both teams to score@1.93

52%

Double chance@1.36

73%

Season stats

VizelaAcademica

1.1Goals per game1.7

1.0Conceded per game1.3

1.56Points per game1.67

44%Win rate56%

1Goal difference3

7Form, last 5 (pts)6

Vizela form

WLLLW

H Academica2–1

A Chaves2–1

A Atlético CP1–0

H Sporting CP B0–2

A Bombarralense0–1

Academica form

LWWWW

A Vizela2–1

H Leixoes4–0

H Amarante3–2

A União de Leiria0–2

A Real1–4

Head to head

Vizela

Draw

Academica

Nov 2026Vizela – Academica2–1

Mar 2021Academica – Vizela1–3

Oct 2020Vizela – Academica1–3

Mar 2017Vizela – Academica0–1

Sept 2016Academica – Vizela0–1

Segunda Liga table

#TeamGPGDPts

1Sporting CP B9+821

2Lusitânia Lourosa9+719

3Benfica B9+517

4Penafiel8+1016

5Farense9+415

6Academica9+315

7Tondela9+215

8Vizela9+114

9União de Leiria9+214

10AVS9+112

Match preview

Our model sees little between the sides: Vizela 41%, the draw 27%, Academica 33%.

Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.47 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.

We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.36 for Vizela, 1.20 for Academica), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.

Vizela sit 8th on 14 points; Academica are 6th on 15.

Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.

Discuss on Telegram More Segunda Liga tips