Over 1.5 goals@1.42
Over 1.5
71%
JPNJ1 League · Matchday 13Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Noevir Stadium Kobe
Vissel Kobe
5th · 26 pts3–1FULL TIME
Nagoya Grampus
11th · 14 pts59% Vissel
24% Draw
17% Nagoya
OUR PICK
Vissel Kobe to win
Model probability 59% · fair odds
1.71
Expected goals
1.68 – 0.79
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.71X4.1625.75
Goals 2.5Over2.10Under1.81
Both scoreGG2.14NG1.80
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.81
Under 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.80
NG
56%
Double chance@1.21
1X
83%
Season stats
Vissel KobeNagoya Grampus1.6Goals per game1.2
0.9Conceded per game1.6
2.00Points per game1.08
62%Win rate31%
9Goal difference-6
7Form, last 5 (pts)8
Vissel Kobe form
No recent matches.
Nagoya Grampus form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
Vissel
0
Draw
0
Nagoya
These sides haven't met recently.
J1 League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Tokyo13+2330
2Sanfrecce Hiroshima13+2229
3Machida Zelvia13+2028
4Kashiwa Reysol13+1028
5Vissel Kobe13+926
6Kashima13+723
7Kawasaki Frontale13+522
8Yokohama F. Marinos13+621
9Urawa13-621
10Fagiano Okayama13-616
Match preview
Our model makes Vissel Kobe clear favourites, giving them a 59% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.71 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.68 for Vissel Kobe, 0.79 for Nagoya Grampus), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Vissel Kobe sit 5th on 26 points; Nagoya Grampus are 11th on 14.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.