Over 1.5 goals@1.83
Over 1.5
55%
GHAPremier League · Matchday 7Saturday, 17 October 2026 · Nii Adjei Kraku II Sports Complex
Vision
16th · 10 pts0–1FULL TIME
Hearts of Oak
3rd · 17 pts28% Vision
32% Draw
40% Hearts
OUR PICK
Hearts of Oak to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.53
Expected goals
0.81 – 1.02
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.55X3.1022.53
Goals 2.5Over3.37Under1.38
Both scoreGG2.70NG1.55
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.38
Under 2.5
72%
Both teams to score@1.55
NG
65%
Double chance@1.39
X2
72%
Season stats
VisionHearts of Oak1.2Goals per game1.0
1.2Conceded per game0.3
1.11Points per game1.89
22%Win rate56%
0Goal difference6
5Form, last 5 (pts)10
Vision form
DWLLDH Port City0–0
A Dreams1–3
H Hearts of Oak0–1
A Bechem United4–2
H Bibiani Gold Stars0–0
Hearts of Oak form
LWWWDA Debibi United1–0
H Basake Holy Stars1–0
A Vision0–1
H Port City1–0
A Dreams0–0
Head to head
1
Vision
1
Draw
3
Hearts
Oct 2026Vision – Hearts of Oak0–1
Apr 2026Vision – Hearts of Oak1–0
Nov 2025Hearts of Oak – Vision1–0
Apr 2025Vision – Hearts of Oak1–1
Nov 2024Hearts of Oak – Vision1–0
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Medeama9+718
2Samartex9+518
3Hearts of Oak9+617
4Aduana Stars9+416
5Port City9+415
6Ashanti Gold9+214
7Swedru All Blacks9+214
8Bechem United9+113
9Asante Kotoko9013
10Basake Holy Stars9-412
Match preview
Our model makes Hearts of Oak slight favourites, giving them a 40% chance of winning against 32% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.53 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 1.8 goals in total (0.81 for Vision, 1.02 for Hearts of Oak), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Vision sit 16th on 10 points; Hearts of Oak are 3rd on 17.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.