Over 1.5 goals@1.33
Over 1.5
75%
GHAPremier League · Matchday 5Saturday, 3 October 2026 · Nii Adjei Kraku II Sports Complex
Vision
16th · 10 pts0–0FULL TIME
Bibiani Gold Stars
13th · 10 pts49% Vision
25% Draw
26% Bibiani
OUR PICK
Vision to win
Model probability 49% · fair odds
2.04
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.10
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.04X4.0223.82
Goals 2.5Over1.98Under1.93
Both scoreGG1.88NG2.01
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.98
Over 2.5
51%
Both teams to score@1.88
GG
53%
Double chance@1.33
12
75%
Season stats
VisionBibiani Gold Stars1.2Goals per game0.9
1.2Conceded per game1.1
1.11Points per game1.11
22%Win rate33%
0Goal difference-2
5Form, last 5 (pts)7
Vision form
DWLLDH Port City0–0
A Dreams1–3
H Hearts of Oak0–1
A Bechem United4–2
H Bibiani Gold Stars0–0
Bibiani Gold Stars form
LWLWDA Samartex1–0
H Heart of Lions2–1
A Debibi United1–0
H Basake Holy Stars2–0
A Vision0–0
Head to head
2
Vision
1
Draw
2
Bibiani
Oct 2026Vision – Bibiani Gold Stars0–0
Mar 2026Bibiani Gold Stars – Vision1–0
Oct 2025Vision – Bibiani Gold Stars3–0
Apr 2025Vision – Bibiani Gold Stars2–0
Nov 2024Bibiani Gold Stars – Vision2–0
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Medeama9+718
2Samartex9+518
3Hearts of Oak9+617
4Aduana Stars9+416
5Port City9+415
6Ashanti Gold9+214
7Swedru All Blacks9+214
8Bechem United9+113
9Asante Kotoko9013
10Basake Holy Stars9-412
Match preview
Our model makes Vision slight favourites, giving them a 49% chance of winning against 25% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.04 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.7 goals in total (1.60 for Vision, 1.10 for Bibiani Gold Stars), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Vision sit 16th on 10 points; Bibiani Gold Stars are 13th on 10.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.