Over 1.5 goals@1.42
Over 1.5
71%
ITASerie B · Matchday 11Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Stadio Comunale
Virtus Entella
14th · 10 pts15:00KICK-OFF WAT
Modena
2nd · 20 pts29% Virtus
27% Draw
44% Modena
OUR PICK
Modena to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.27
Expected goals
1.08 – 1.39
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.42X3.7322.27
Goals 2.5Over2.10Under1.81
Both scoreGG1.89NG1.98
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.81
Under 2.5
55%
Both teams to score@1.98
NG
50%
Double chance@1.37
12
73%
Season stats
Virtus EntellaModena1.1Goals per game1.8
1.2Conceded per game1.0
1.00Points per game2.00
20%Win rate60%
-1Goal difference8
5Form, last 5 (pts)10
Virtus Entella form
LDLWDA Sampdoria2–0
H Avellino1–1
H Mantova0–1
A Padova1–2
H Juve Stabia1–1
Modena form
DWWLWH Mantova1–1
A Vicenza Virtus1–2
H Cesena3–0
A Carrarese2–1
H Hellas Verona3–2
Head to head
2
Virtus
0
Draw
2
Modena
Mar 2026Virtus Entella – Modena2–1
Oct 2025Modena – Virtus Entella2–0
Jan 2022Virtus Entella – Modena0–2
Sept 2021Modena – Virtus Entella1–2
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Palermo10+1226
2Modena10+820
3Ascoli10+1019
4Mantova10+418
5Avellino10+515
6Benevento10+415
7Hellas Verona10+615
8Pisa10+315
9Padova10-114
10Sudtirol10+114
Match preview
Our model makes Modena slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.27 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.5 goals in total (1.08 for Virtus Entella, 1.39 for Modena), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Virtus Entella sit 14th on 10 points; Modena are 2nd on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.