Over 1.5 goals@1.37
Over 1.5
73%
ITASerie B · Matchday 8Saturday, 24 October 2026 · Stadio Comunale
Virtus Entella
14th · 10 pts0–1FULL TIME
Mantova
4th · 18 pts39% Virtus
26% Draw
35% Mantova
OUR PICK
Virtus Entella to win
Model probability 39% · fair odds
2.59
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.25
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.59X3.7822.87
Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.91
Both scoreGG1.91NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.91
Under 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.91
GG
52%
Double chance@1.36
12
74%
Season stats
Virtus EntellaMantova1.1Goals per game1.5
1.2Conceded per game1.1
1.00Points per game1.80
20%Win rate50%
-1Goal difference4
5Form, last 5 (pts)7
Virtus Entella form
LDLWDA Sampdoria2–0
H Avellino1–1
H Mantova0–1
A Padova1–2
H Juve Stabia1–1
Mantova form
DLWLWA Modena1–1
H Cremonese0–2
A Virtus Entella0–1
H Palermo0–2
A Catanzaro1–3
Head to head
1
Virtus
0
Draw
2
Mantova
Oct 2026Virtus Entella – Mantova0–1
Apr 2026Mantova – Virtus Entella1–0
Sept 2025Virtus Entella – Mantova1–0
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Palermo10+1226
2Modena10+820
3Ascoli10+1019
4Mantova10+418
5Avellino10+515
6Benevento10+415
7Hellas Verona10+615
8Pisa10+315
9Padova10-114
10Sudtirol10+114
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Virtus Entella 39%, the draw 26%, Mantova 35%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.59 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.33 for Virtus Entella, 1.25 for Mantova), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Virtus Entella sit 14th on 10 points; Mantova are 4th on 18.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.