Over 1.5 goals@1.17
Over 1.5
86%
NOR2. Division - Group 1 · Matchday 25Saturday, 24 October 2026
Vidar
14th · 13 pts0–2FULL TIME
Lysekloster
12th · 22 pts32% Vidar
22% Draw
46% Lysekloster
OUR PICK
Lysekloster to win
Model probability 46% · fair odds
2.17
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.89
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.15X4.5022.17
Goals 2.5Over1.50Under2.86
Both scoreGG1.50NG2.86
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.50
Over 2.5
67%
Both teams to score@1.50
GG
67%
Double chance@1.29
12
78%
Season stats
VidarLysekloster0.9Goals per game1.3
2.7Conceded per game2.2
0.50Points per game0.85
12%Win rate19%
-46Goal difference-21
3Form, last 5 (pts)8
Vidar form
LLWLLA Notodden5–1
H Lysekloster0–2
A Kvik Halden0–2
H Brattvåg1–3
A Pors Grenland4–1
Lysekloster form
LWDWDH Sotra1–4
A Vidar0–2
H Træff3–3
A Eik-Tønsberg1–3
H jerv3–3
Head to head
0
Vidar
3
Draw
1
Lysekloster
Oct 2026Vidar – Lysekloster0–2
Apr 2026Lysekloster – Vidar1–1
Oct 2022Lysekloster – Vidar2–2
Apr 2022Vidar – Lysekloster0–0
2. Division - Group 1 table
#TeamGPGDPts
1jerv26+3059
2Bjarg26+2954
3Mjondalen26+1653
4Brattvåg26+2051
5Sotra26+3048
6Notodden26+838
7Træff26-638
8Kvik Halden26+137
9Arendal26-631
10Pors Grenland26-530
Match preview
Our model makes Lysekloster slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.17 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.4 goals in total (1.54 for Vidar, 1.89 for Lysekloster), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Vidar sit 14th on 13 points; Lysekloster are 12th on 22.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.