Over 1.5 goals@1.14
Over 1.5
88%
ITASerie B · Matchday 6Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Stadio Romeo Menti
Vicenza Virtus
17th · 9 pts0–3FULL TIME
Pisa
8th · 15 pts40% Vicenza
22% Draw
38% Pisa
OUR PICK
Vicenza Virtus to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.49
Expected goals
1.86 – 1.81
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.49X4.6022.62
Goals 2.5Over1.41Under3.25
Both scoreGG1.42NG3.25
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.41
Over 2.5
71%
Both teams to score@1.42
GG
71%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
Vicenza VirtusPisa1.3Goals per game1.8
2.0Conceded per game1.5
0.90Points per game1.50
20%Win rate40%
-7Goal difference3
4Form, last 5 (pts)8
Vicenza Virtus form
LLWDLA Palermo3–1
H Modena1–2
A Empoli0–2
A Benevento2–2
H Pisa0–3
Pisa form
LDDWWA Avellino2–0
H Palermo3–3
A Hellas Verona1–1
H Cremonese3–1
A Vicenza Virtus0–3
Head to head
0
Vicenza
3
Draw
2
Pisa
Oct 2026Vicenza Virtus – Pisa0–3
Feb 2022Pisa – Vicenza Virtus2–2
Sept 2021Vicenza Virtus – Pisa1–3
Feb 2021Pisa – Vicenza Virtus2–2
Oct 2020Vicenza Virtus – Pisa4–4
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Palermo10+1226
2Modena10+820
3Ascoli10+1019
4Mantova10+418
5Avellino10+515
6Benevento10+415
7Hellas Verona10+615
8Pisa10+315
9Padova10-114
10Sudtirol10+114
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: Vicenza Virtus 40%, the draw 22%, Pisa 38%.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.49 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.7 goals in total (1.86 for Vicenza Virtus, 1.81 for Pisa), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Vicenza Virtus sit 17th on 9 points; Pisa are 8th on 15.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.