Over 1.5 goals@1.20
Over 1.5
83%
ITASerie B · Matchday 9Tuesday, 27 October 2026 · Stadio Romeo Menti
Vicenza Virtus
17th · 9 pts1–2FULL TIME
Modena
2nd · 20 pts24% Vicenza
22% Draw
55% Modena
OUR PICK
Modena to win
Model probability 55% · fair odds
1.83
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.98
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X214.22X4.5921.83
Goals 2.5Over1.60Under2.48
Both scoreGG1.63NG2.42
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.60
Over 2.5
62%
Both teams to score@1.63
GG
61%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
Vicenza VirtusModena1.3Goals per game1.8
2.0Conceded per game1.0
0.90Points per game2.00
20%Win rate60%
-7Goal difference8
4Form, last 5 (pts)10
Vicenza Virtus form
LLWDLA Palermo3–1
H Modena1–2
A Empoli0–2
A Benevento2–2
H Pisa0–3
Modena form
DWWLWH Mantova1–1
A Vicenza Virtus1–2
H Cesena3–0
A Carrarese2–1
H Hellas Verona3–2
Head to head
1
Vicenza
1
Draw
1
Modena
Oct 2026Vicenza Virtus – Modena1–2
Jan 2020Vicenza Virtus – Modena1–0
Aug 2019Modena – Vicenza Virtus0–0
Serie B table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Palermo10+1226
2Modena10+820
3Ascoli10+1019
4Mantova10+418
5Avellino10+515
6Benevento10+415
7Hellas Verona10+615
8Pisa10+315
9Padova10-114
10Sudtirol10+114
Match preview
Our model makes Modena clear favourites, giving them a 55% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.83 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.2 goals in total (1.24 for Vicenza Virtus, 1.98 for Modena), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Vicenza Virtus sit 17th on 9 points; Modena are 2nd on 20.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.