Over 1.5 goals@1.37
Over 1.5
73%
DENSuperliga · Matchday 11Monday, 19 October 2026 · Viborg Stadion
Viborg
3rd · 23 pts1–2FULL TIME
FC Midtjylland
1st · 31 pts44% Viborg
26% Draw
30% FC
OUR PICK
Viborg to win
Model probability 44% · fair odds
2.28
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.14
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.28X3.8223.34
Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.91
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.91
Under 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.93
GG
52%
Double chance@1.35
12
74%
Season stats
ViborgFC Midtjylland1.5Goals per game2.1
0.9Conceded per game1.2
1.77Points per game2.38
54%Win rate69%
8Goal difference12
9Form, last 5 (pts)13
Viborg form
WLLWLH AC Horsens1–0
A Aarhus2–1
H FC Midtjylland1–2
A Randers FC0–2
A Holstein Kiel3–1
FC Midtjylland form
WWWLWA FC Nordsjaelland2–3
H Odense2–1
H Lyngby3–2
H St. Truiden0–1
A Viborg1–2
Head to head
0
Viborg
3
Draw
2
FC
Oct 2026Viborg – FC Midtjylland1–2
May 2026FC Midtjylland – Viborg3–3
Mar 2026Viborg – FC Midtjylland1–1
Dec 2025Viborg – FC Midtjylland3–3
Sept 2025FC Midtjylland – Viborg2–0
Superliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Midtjylland13+1231
2FC Copenhagen12+1426
3Viborg13+823
4Brondby13+322
5FC Nordsjaelland13+320
6Odense13-217
7AC Horsens13+216
8Aarhus13-412
9Silkeborg13-712
10Randers FC13-811
Match preview
Our model makes Viborg slight favourites, giving them a 44% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.28 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.44 for Viborg, 1.14 for FC Midtjylland), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Viborg sit 3rd on 23 points; FC Midtjylland are 1st on 31.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.