Over 1.5 goals@1.23
Over 1.5
81%
DENSuperliga · Matchday 13Sunday, 1 November 2026 · Viborg Stadion
Viborg
3rd · 23 pts1–0FULL TIME
AC Horsens
7th · 16 pts53% Viborg
23% Draw
24% AC
OUR PICK
Viborg to win
Model probability 53% · fair odds
1.89
Expected goals
1.87 – 1.20
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.89X4.4224.10
Goals 2.5Over1.69Under2.30
Both scoreGG1.69NG2.30
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.69
Over 2.5
59%
Both teams to score@1.69
GG
59%
Double chance@1.29
12
77%
Season stats
ViborgAC Horsens1.5Goals per game1.8
0.9Conceded per game1.6
1.77Points per game1.23
54%Win rate31%
8Goal difference2
9Form, last 5 (pts)6
Viborg form
WLLWLH AC Horsens1–0
A Aarhus2–1
H FC Midtjylland1–2
A Randers FC0–2
A Holstein Kiel3–1
AC Horsens form
LLWDDA Viborg1–0
A Brabrand1–0
H Sonderjyske5–1
H Randers FC0–0
A Silkeborg3–3
Head to head
5
Viborg
0
Draw
0
AC
Nov 2026Viborg – AC Horsens1–0
Aug 2026AC Horsens – Viborg2–3
Sept 2025AC Horsens – Viborg0–1
Sept 2024AC Horsens – Viborg0–4
Jan 2024Viborg – AC Horsens4–2
Superliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Midtjylland13+1231
2FC Copenhagen12+1426
3Viborg13+823
4Brondby13+322
5FC Nordsjaelland13+320
6Odense13-217
7AC Horsens13+216
8Aarhus13-412
9Silkeborg13-712
10Randers FC13-811
Match preview
Our model makes Viborg slight favourites, giving them a 53% chance of winning against 23% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.89 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.1 goals in total (1.87 for Viborg, 1.20 for AC Horsens), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Viborg sit 3rd on 23 points; AC Horsens are 7th on 16.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.