Over 1.5 goals@1.09
Over 1.5
91%
GER2. Bundesliga · Matchday 10Saturday, 31 October 2026 · Volkswagen Arena
VfL Wolfsburg
2nd · 19 pts2–0FULL TIME
VfL Osnabrück
9th · 11 pts64% VfL
17% Draw
18% VfL
OUR PICK
VfL Wolfsburg to win
Model probability 64% · fair odds
1.55
Expected goals
2.69 – 1.41
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.55X5.8125.45
Goals 2.5Over1.29Under4.10
Both scoreGG1.42NG3.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.29
Over 2.5
77%
Both teams to score@1.42
GG
70%
Double chance@1.21
12
83%
Season stats
VfL WolfsburgVfL Osnabrück2.5Goals per game1.4
1.4Conceded per game1.7
1.90Points per game1.10
50%Win rate30%
11Goal difference-3
11Form, last 5 (pts)5
VfL Wolfsburg form
No recent matches.
VfL Osnabrück form
No recent matches.
Head to head
0
VfL
0
Draw
0
VfL
These sides haven't met recently.
2. Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hertha BSC10+1528
2VfL Wolfsburg10+1119
31. FC Nürnberg9+918
41. FC Kaiserslautern10+218
51. FC Magdeburg10+817
61. FC Heidenheim10-115
7Arminia Bielefeld10+114
8FC St. Pauli9+212
9VfL Osnabrück10-311
10VfL Bochum10-311
Match preview
Our model makes VfL Wolfsburg clear favourites, giving them a 64% chance of winning against 17% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.55 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 4.1 goals in total (2.69 for VfL Wolfsburg, 1.41 for VfL Osnabrück), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
VfL Wolfsburg sit 2nd on 19 points; VfL Osnabrück are 9th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.