Over 1.5 goals@1.26
Over 1.5
80%
GER2. Bundesliga · Matchday 9Sunday, 25 October 2026 · Stadion an der Bremer Brücke
VfL Osnabrück
10th · 11 pts3–0FULL TIME
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
9th · 12 pts35% VfL
24% Draw
40% SpVgg
OUR PICK
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win
Model probability 40% · fair odds
2.49
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.54
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.83X4.1022.49
Goals 2.5Over1.75Under2.19
Both scoreGG1.67NG2.36
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.75
Over 2.5
57%
Both teams to score@1.67
GG
60%
Double chance@1.32
12
76%
Season stats
VfL OsnabrückSpVgg Greuther Fürth1.4Goals per game1.3
1.7Conceded per game1.6
1.10Points per game1.20
30%Win rate30%
-3Goal difference-3
5Form, last 5 (pts)7
VfL Osnabrück form
LWLDLA VfL Wolfsburg2–0
H SpVgg Greuther Fürth3–0
A Arminia Bielefeld2–1
H Dynamo Dresden1–1
H Djurgardens IF0–1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth form
WLWLLH Holstein Kiel1–0
A VfL Osnabrück3–0
H Eintracht Braunschweig2–0
A Hertha BSC2–1
A VfB Stuttgart5–0
Head to head
2
VfL
1
Draw
2
SpVgg
Oct 2026VfL Osnabrück – SpVgg Greuther Fürth3–0
Apr 2024VfL Osnabruck – SpVgg Greuther Furth2–0
Oct 2023SpVgg Greuther Furth – VfL Osnabruck4–0
Jan 2021VfL Osnabruck – SpVgg Greuther Furth0–1
Sept 2020SpVgg Greuther Furth – VfL Osnabruck1–1
2. Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hertha BSC10+1528
21. FC Nürnberg10+1121
3VfL Wolfsburg10+1119
41. FC Kaiserslautern10+218
51. FC Magdeburg10+817
61. FC Heidenheim10-115
7Arminia Bielefeld10+114
8FC St. Pauli10012
9SpVgg Greuther Fürth10-312
10VfL Osnabrück10-311
Match preview
Our model sees little between the sides: VfL Osnabrück 35%, the draw 24%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 40%.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.49 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.0 goals in total (1.43 for VfL Osnabrück, 1.54 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
VfL Osnabrück sit 10th on 11 points; SpVgg Greuther Fürth are 9th on 12.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.