Over 1.5 goals@1.17
Over 1.5
86%
GER2. Bundesliga · Matchday 7Saturday, 10 October 2026 · Stadion an der Bremer Brücke
VfL Osnabrück
10th · 11 pts1–1FULL TIME
Dynamo Dresden
18th · 8 pts55% VfL
21% Draw
24% Dynamo
OUR PICK
VfL Osnabrück to win
Model probability 55% · fair odds
1.81
Expected goals
2.10 – 1.32
Confidence
Medium
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X211.81X4.7724.21
Goals 2.5Over1.51Under2.77
Both scoreGG1.55NG2.62
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.51
Over 2.5
66%
Both teams to score@1.55
GG
64%
Double chance@1.27
12
79%
Season stats
VfL OsnabrückDynamo Dresden1.4Goals per game1.2
1.7Conceded per game2.0
1.10Points per game0.80
30%Win rate20%
-3Goal difference-8
5Form, last 5 (pts)4
VfL Osnabrück form
LWLDLA VfL Wolfsburg2–0
H SpVgg Greuther Fürth3–0
A Arminia Bielefeld2–1
H Dynamo Dresden1–1
H Djurgardens IF0–1
Dynamo Dresden form
LWLWDA Hannover 962–1
H FC Schalke 042–0
A Holstein Kiel3–0
H 1. FC Magdeburg2–0
A VfL Osnabrück1–1
Head to head
1
VfL
1
Draw
3
Dynamo
Oct 2026VfL Osnabrück – Dynamo Dresden1–1
Apr 2025Dynamo Dresden – VfL Osnabrück0–1
Nov 2024VfL Osnabrück – Dynamo Dresden0–3
Apr 2023VfL Osnabruck – Dynamo Dresden0–1
Oct 2022Dynamo Dresden – VfL Osnabruck3–2
2. Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hertha BSC10+1528
21. FC Nürnberg10+1121
3VfL Wolfsburg10+1119
41. FC Kaiserslautern10+218
51. FC Magdeburg10+817
61. FC Heidenheim10-115
7Arminia Bielefeld10+114
8FC St. Pauli10012
9SpVgg Greuther Fürth10-312
10VfL Osnabrück10-311
Match preview
Our model makes VfL Osnabrück clear favourites, giving them a 55% chance of winning against 21% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 1.81 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.4 goals in total (2.10 for VfL Osnabrück, 1.32 for Dynamo Dresden), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
VfL Osnabrück sit 10th on 11 points; Dynamo Dresden are 18th on 8.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.