Over 1.5 goals@1.44
Over 1.5
70%
GER2. Bundesliga · Matchday 11Sunday, 8 November 2026 · Vonovia Ruhrstadion
VfL Bochum
11th · 11 pts13:30KICK-OFF WAT
Karlsruher SC
13th · 11 pts48% VfL
27% Draw
26% Karlsruher
OUR PICK
VfL Bochum to win
Model probability 48% · fair odds
2.10
Expected goals
1.44 – 0.98
Confidence
Fair
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.10X3.7623.89
Goals 2.5Over2.14Under1.77
Both scoreGG1.97NG1.91
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.77
Under 2.5
56%
Both teams to score@1.91
NG
52%
Double chance@1.35
1X
74%
Season stats
VfL BochumKarlsruher SC0.8Goals per game1.3
1.1Conceded per game2.1
1.10Points per game1.10
30%Win rate30%
-3Goal difference-8
4Form, last 5 (pts)6
VfL Bochum form
No recent matches.
Karlsruher SC form
No recent matches.
Head to head
2
VfL
1
Draw
2
Karlsruher
May 2026Karlsruher SC – VfL Bochum1–2
Dec 2025VfL Bochum – Karlsruher SC2–2
Dec 2022Vfl Bochum – Karlsruher SC1–2
Jan 2021Vfl Bochum – Karlsruher SC1–2
Sept 2020Karlsruher SC – Vfl Bochum0–1
2. Bundesliga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Hertha BSC10+1528
21. FC Nürnberg10+1121
3VfL Wolfsburg10+1119
41. FC Kaiserslautern10+218
51. FC Magdeburg10+817
61. FC Heidenheim10-115
7Arminia Bielefeld10+114
8FC St. Pauli10012
9SpVgg Greuther Fürth10-312
10VfL Osnabrück10-311
Match preview
Our model makes VfL Bochum slight favourites, giving them a 48% chance of winning against 27% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.10 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.4 goals in total (1.44 for VfL Bochum, 0.98 for Karlsruher SC), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
VfL Bochum sit 11th on 11 points; Karlsruher SC are 13th on 11.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.