Over 1.5 goals@1.14
Over 1.5
88%
GER3. Liga · Matchday 9Wednesday, 14 October 2026 · Stadion an der Poststraße
Verl
17th · 12 pts2–2FULL TIME
SSV Jahn Regensburg
16th · 13 pts33% Verl
22% Draw
45% SSV
OUR PICK
SSV Jahn Regensburg to win
Model probability 45% · fair odds
2.21
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.97
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X213.01X4.6322.21
Goals 2.5Over1.42Under3.14
Both scoreGG1.43NG3.14
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.42
Over 2.5
70%
Both teams to score@1.43
GG
70%
Double chance@1.28
12
78%
Season stats
VerlSSV Jahn Regensburg1.4Goals per game1.8
2.2Conceded per game1.8
1.00Points per game1.08
25%Win rate25%
-9Goal difference1
2Form, last 5 (pts)8
Verl form
LLLDDH SV Wehen1–4
A FC Viktoria Köln3–1
A Hoffenheim II2–1
H SSV Jahn Regensburg2–2
A Fortuna Düsseldorf2–2
SSV Jahn Regensburg form
WLDDWH Hansa Rostock2–1
A Rot-Weiß Essen1–0
H SV Wehen0–0
A Verl2–2
H Havelse5–0
Head to head
0
Verl
0
Draw
0
SSV
These sides haven't met recently.
3. Liga table
#TeamGPGDPts
1FC Viktoria Köln12+1626
2MSV Duisburg12+1426
3Rot-Weiß Essen12+724
4FC Saarbrücken12+720
5Alemannia Aachen12+120
6SV Wehen12+618
7FC Ingolstadt 0412-118
8Waldhof Mannheim12+216
9Hoffenheim II12+116
10Fortuna Düsseldorf12-216
Match preview
Our model makes SSV Jahn Regensburg slight favourites, giving them a 45% chance of winning against 22% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 2.21 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 3.6 goals in total (1.67 for Verl, 1.97 for SSV Jahn Regensburg), which points to Over 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Verl sit 17th on 12 points; SSV Jahn Regensburg are 16th on 13.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.