Over 1.5 goals@1.58
Over 1.5
63%
UKRPremier League · Matchday 8Friday, 9 October 2026 · Avangard
Veres Rivne
12th · 9 pts0–3FULL TIME
Shakhtar Donetsk
1st · 28 pts12% Veres
24% Draw
63% Shakhtar
OUR PICK
Shakhtar Donetsk to win
Model probability 63% · fair odds
1.58
Expected goals
0.55 – 1.60
Confidence
High
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X218.02X4.1021.58
Goals 2.5Over2.62Under1.57
Both scoreGG2.77NG1.51
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.57
Under 2.5
64%
Both teams to score@1.51
NG
66%
Double chance@1.14
X2
88%
Season stats
Veres RivneShakhtar Donetsk0.6Goals per game2.0
1.5Conceded per game0.5
0.82Points per game2.55
18%Win rate82%
-9Goal difference17
3Form, last 5 (pts)13
Veres Rivne form
LWLLLH Chornomorets1–3
A Livyi Bereh0–1
H Kolos Kovalivka0–2
A Obolon'-Brovar2–0
H Shakhtar Donetsk0–3
Shakhtar Donetsk form
WWDLWH Obolon'-Brovar2–0
H Dynamo Kyiv3–0
H Zorya Luhansk0–0
A Inter1–0
H Kolos Kovalivka2–1
Head to head
0
Veres
1
Draw
4
Shakhtar
Oct 2026Veres Rivne – Shakhtar Donetsk0–3
Feb 2026Shakhtar Donetsk – Veres Rivne1–0
Aug 2025Veres Rivne – Shakhtar Donetsk0–2
Apr 2025Shakhtar Donetsk – Veres Rivne3–0
Sept 2024Veres Rivne – Shakhtar Donetsk1–1
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk11+1728
2Polessya10+1525
3Dynamo Kyiv10+722
4FC Kharkiv9+1121
5Karpaty11+1419
6Zorya Luhansk11018
7LNZ Cherkasy10+115
8Kolos Kovalivka9-111
9Chornomorets10-49
10Epitsentr Dunayivtsi11-59
Match preview
Our model makes Shakhtar Donetsk clear favourites, giving them a 63% chance of winning against 24% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Away win" is 1.58 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.2 goals in total (0.55 for Veres Rivne, 1.60 for Shakhtar Donetsk), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Veres Rivne sit 12th on 9 points; Shakhtar Donetsk are 1st on 28.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.