Over 1.5 goals@1.37
Over 1.5
73%
UKRPremier League · Matchday 6Saturday, 3 October 2026 · Avangard
Veres Rivne
12th · 9 pts2–1FULL TIME
Kudrivka
16th · 5 pts46% Veres
26% Draw
28% Kudrivka
OUR PICK
Veres Rivne to win
Model probability 46% · fair odds
2.19
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.11
Confidence
Low
Fair odds
From our model, no margin1X212.19X3.8623.52
Goals 2.5Over1.97Under1.92
Both scoreGG1.93NG1.97
Every market, one match
Over/Under 2.5@1.92
Under 2.5
52%
Both teams to score@1.93
GG
52%
Double chance@1.35
12
74%
Season stats
Veres RivneKudrivka0.6Goals per game1.0
1.5Conceded per game2.6
0.82Points per game0.45
18%Win rate9%
-9Goal difference-18
3Form, last 5 (pts)3
Veres Rivne form
LWLLLH Chornomorets1–3
A Livyi Bereh0–1
H Kolos Kovalivka0–2
A Obolon'-Brovar2–0
H Shakhtar Donetsk0–3
Kudrivka form
LLWLLA Karpaty5–0
A Dynamo Kyiv3–1
H Bukovyna4–1
A LNZ Cherkasy2–1
A Veres Rivne2–1
Head to head
3
Veres
1
Draw
0
Kudrivka
Oct 2026Veres Rivne – Kudrivka2–1
Mar 2026Kudrivka – Veres Rivne0–0
Feb 2026Veres Rivne – Kudrivka1–0
Sept 2025Veres Rivne – Kudrivka2–0
Premier League table
#TeamGPGDPts
1Shakhtar Donetsk11+1728
2Polessya10+1525
3Dynamo Kyiv10+722
4FC Kharkiv9+1121
5Karpaty11+1419
6Zorya Luhansk11018
7LNZ Cherkasy10+115
8Kolos Kovalivka9-111
9Chornomorets10-49
10Epitsentr Dunayivtsi11-59
Match preview
Our model makes Veres Rivne slight favourites, giving them a 46% chance of winning against 26% for the draw.
Our fair price for "Home win" is 2.19 — the pick only has value at a bookmaker price above that.
We expect 2.6 goals in total (1.48 for Veres Rivne, 1.11 for Kudrivka), which points to Under 2.5 as a secondary angle.
Veres Rivne sit 12th on 9 points; Kudrivka are 16th on 5.
Check team news before kick-off — a late change to either line-up moves the numbers.